Optmizely: Lessons learned from running 127,000 experiments.

The recently published "Final Benchmark Study" by Optimizely, based on the analysis of over 127,000 experiments, provides invaluable insights to inform your A/B testing and experimentation program.

These are some interesting insights from the study:

💡 88% of tests don't win (This is why it's SO important to test - Our intuitions about what will succeed are often not correct)

💡 Only a third of experiments test more than one variation, but experiments that have more variations are 3x as impactful (i.e., we should do more ABCD tests when possible)

💡 Tests that make significant changes to the user experience (pricing, discounts, checkout flow, data collection, etc.) are more likely to win and with higher uplifts.

💡 Experiments that include targeting are 16% more likely to win when compared to untargeted experiments.

💡 The median company runs 34 experiments per year. The top 3% of companies run over 500. To be in the top 10%, you need to be running 200 experiments annually.

Other key findings

Experimentation Win Rates and Company Practices

  • About 12% of experiments win on their primary metric, while 88% do not.

  • The median company runs 34 experiments per year, with the top 3% conducting over 500 annually.

  • Companies are increasing their experimentation velocity by 20% year over year.

  • Most experiment uplifts decrease to 80% of their initial value after a year, except for revenue-related uplifts, which retain 91%.

Experimentation Evolution and Strategies

  • Companies are transitioning from client-side testing to more mature experimentation frameworks, with feature experimentation growing to 36% of all tests since 2016.

  • Experiments involving more complex changes and multiple variations are more successful.

  • Advanced analytics and integrated Customer Data Platforms (CDPs) significantly enhance experimentation success.

Industry and Metric Variations

  • Win rates and experiment success vary across industries, influenced by experimentation maturity and metric selection.

  • The choice of primary metrics for experiments differs by industry, reflecting varying goals and priorities.

Team Performance and Experiment Design

  • Experimentation teams tend to maintain consistent performance over three years. Improvement requires altering research, creativity, and development processes.

  • High-impact experiments often involve substantial changes and multiple variations.

  • Greater complexity in experiments, such as multiple change types, leads to higher returns.

Micro-Conversion and Personalization

  • Focusing on micro-conversions (like search rate and add-to-cart rate) can lead to a higher experiment impact than solely targeting revenue.

  • Personalized experiments targeting specific user segments are 41% more impactful than general ones.

Resource Allocation and Traffic Models

  • Effective resource allocation, including developer time, is crucial. The most productive setup is running one experiment per developer per two-week sprint.

  • Machine-learning models like Stats Accelerator and Multi-Armed Bandit, which dynamically allocate traffic, significantly enhance experiment outcomes compared to standard A/B tests.

Successful experimentation in digital commerce hinges on advanced analytics, complex experiment designs, focus on micro-conversions, personalization, and efficient resource allocation. These insights can guide executives to foster a culture of innovation and optimize their digital strategies effectively.

Check out the report

Dive in to start reading The Evolution of Experimentation research from Optimizely.

Nick Di Stefano

I’m a product design lead fascinated by the intersection of people, technology, and design.

I bring over 12 years of experience in leading teams and shipping complex digital products. I enjoy untangling complex systems and collaborating across disciplines to create measurable change.

http://www.nickdistefano.com
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